Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.382942 11.973530 13.681094 15.645276 17.836757 20.201104 22.939218
2025-08-10 7.925414 10.001807 12.393722 15.332613 18.824742 22.819427 27.710987
2025-08-17 6.404016 8.673644 11.434470 14.999421 19.436366 24.730157 31.472568
2025-08-24 5.330524 7.680015 10.675638 14.710004 19.928348 26.372430 34.843905
2025-08-31 4.438431 6.775969 9.889100 14.245437 20.078021 27.502780 37.536554
2025-09-07 3.912126 6.286778 9.572472 14.324797 20.877044 29.433493 41.264794
2025-09-14 3.458411 5.836808 9.248820 14.338441 21.548064 31.184452 44.787653
2025-09-21 3.118747 5.509874 9.056754 14.498628 22.397587 33.176900 48.674977
2025-09-28 2.785485 5.150148 8.775301 14.491865 22.986823 34.811525 52.110260
2025-10-05 2.587681 4.982115 8.761243 14.864880 24.121018 37.225848 56.682420
2025-10-12 2.385923 4.782718 8.675879 15.112484 25.067414 39.393522 60.965394
2025-10-19 2.173146 4.538859 8.494755 15.189808 25.748179 41.188546 64.760918
2025-10-26 1.889967 4.139648 8.028975 14.788330 25.684081 41.905549 67.051475
2025-11-02 1.660245 3.810280 7.649761 14.494822 25.761062 42.819888 69.645300
2025-11-09 1.455253 3.501317 7.275714 14.176852 25.769966 43.614795 72.067683
2025-11-16 1.281180 3.230550 6.943317 13.900630 25.820657 44.459603 74.572757
2025-11-23 1.106520 2.933937 6.534397 13.457336 25.563702 44.803543 76.310006
2025-11-30 1.014085 2.802182 6.423687 13.533054 26.170209 46.513520 80.183561
2025-12-07 0.923870 2.663033 6.285353 13.546072 26.664182 48.052547 83.825927
2025-12-14 0.856736 2.568308 6.226181 13.698919 27.400731 49.998642 88.152588
2025-12-21 0.780500 2.440929 6.088663 13.692466 27.852808 51.489240 91.790202
2025-12-28 0.743365 2.405764 6.139494 14.048441 28.958980 54.083946 97.253564
2026-01-04 0.698678 2.345105 6.130432 14.284773 29.856031 56.352990 102.243511